Why are Gold and Silver prices rising? Video
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Why are Gold and Silver prices rising?
Today is Friday 3rd February 2017 and we are asking why are gold and silver prices going up?
On the 15th January we produced a video entitled “Investment Schizophrenia prior to a Trump Presidency” where we suggested that investors were unsure where to place their money in view of impending then President-elect Trumps policies.
Well nearly 3 weeks later we are witnessing a similar situation, save that the issues are rapidly becoming far more serious in that conflicting reports are creating confusion amongst traders.
This past week has seen a number of conflicting news reports which quite frankly has caused stock market, currency and bullion traders a high degree of confusion. We have seen the Dow Jones Index rising above 20,000, then falling to 19,964 and is now just 10 points off its all-time high standing at 20,071 – whereby frankly it should now be testing 20,200. The dollar index has moved from 100.5 down to 99.5 and is currently standing at 99.7 whereas its been as high as 103 in the past month and frankly should be moving a little closer to 104. Gold has moved from $1190 to $1220 when it should actually be moving down towards the $1175 level and silver has risen from $17.14 to $17.50 when it should now be trading between $16.50 - $16.75.
• US firms added 227,000 jobs in January against expectations of 175,000 – thus strengthening the dollar, boosting the stock market and making interest rate rises more inevitable – bad news for gold and silver
• On Thursday, the Bank of England revised up its forecast for the UK economy this year, and now expects it to grow by 2% suggesting a recovering economic situation good for the stock markets, value of sterling but bad for gold and silver – though slightly better for silver than gold.
• Reuters Poll out today shows that New York Banks believe that the FED will raise rates only twice this year – thereby boosting the stock market and making gold and silver less attractive in comparison as investment vehicles.
• Prime Minister May visited President Trump and it appears that the ‘special relationship between the UK and the USA is back on – meaning excellent business prospects for both countries.
So why is gold and silver rising – well it’s the ‘fear factor’ right now. Headlines this week show:
• Michael Flynn, The National Security Adviser on Wednesday stated that he was “officially putting Iran on notice” in reaction to a missile test and an attack on a Saudi warship. Then today sanctions have been announced, causing oil prices to rise and investors becoming nervous.
• President Trump cut short a conversation with Australian PM Malcolm Turnbull after reportedly telling him it was his "worst call by far" with a foreign leader that day over the refugee crisis – Trump called the deal made with Obama a “Dumb Deal”. Australia is known to be a very close ally of the US and such disagreements may prove harmful in the longer term.
• President Trump recommended Ted Malloch, the leading contender to be named America’s next top diplomat in Brussels, who reminded the EU they have no say over who President Trump appoints to ambassadorial roles. Ted Malloch is a well-known anti-EU advocate who is keen to see the break-up of the Union from a political perspective. This has caused considerable disharmony amongst the EU elite and again makes markets nervous which is good for gold and silver.
• NATO expenditure and contributions are to be reassessed and an inquiry into banking legislation has been ordered – both causing a mixture of good news/bad news for the investing community.
There have been many other examples announced during the past week which may have had an impact but tensions with Iran may indeed cloud any positive news and lead investors scurrying to safe haven gold and silver.
So those who have criticised the paper markets for pushing prices down, may indeed be praising them for pushing them up – so for the next couple of weeks we believe fundamentals are out of the window and geo-political issues will dictate where prices shall move.
Please view our latest videos:
Gold and Silver Update – w/e 27th January 2017
https://youtu.be/uYjXLrNNFp0
Gold and Silver Update – w/e 20th January 2017
https://youtu.be/lQ8fThdXcNw
Trade War with China is Possible but US likely to win
https://youtu.be/Q9AO4eSbrbo
Gold and Silver Prices during Inauguration Week
https://youtu.be/hAmpWxVuImg
Investment Schizophrenia during a Trump Presidency.
https://youtu.be/4r2dHCU6f-g
US Mint announces new Mixed Race Liberty Gold Coin
https://youtu.be/2IW_XXopNfE
Is the World Economy Recovering or Faltering?
https://youtu.be/4rwJXtaOXQA
The Liquid element of a precious metal portfolio – by cabadjo.
https://youtu.be/LZVEV7rJMuc
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